Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.378097 0.447998 0.525987 0.619271 0.727635 0.849360 0.996263
2025-01-19 0.271235 0.360611 0.471054 0.616818 0.803304 1.032978 1.336252
2025-01-26 0.222397 0.321711 0.453890 0.641085 0.897483 1.234178 1.707193
2025-02-02 0.203712 0.315412 0.473168 0.709420 1.050782 1.521934 2.216170
2025-02-09 0.178231 0.293467 0.465146 0.735383 1.144752 1.734987 2.641563
2025-02-16 0.150283 0.262216 0.437529 0.726573 1.183951 1.870309 2.965128
2025-02-23 0.124793 0.230130 0.403142 0.701126 1.192297 1.957277 3.220882
2025-03-02 0.103085 0.200503 0.367961 0.668619 1.183686 2.014376 3.432017
2025-03-09 0.094155 0.191810 0.366412 0.691291 1.266481 2.222025 3.898299
2025-03-16 0.079838 0.170731 0.340053 0.666996 1.265832 2.291354 4.141739
2025-03-23 0.072873 0.162672 0.336118 0.682067 1.334738 2.482286 4.603756
2025-03-30 0.066528 0.154817 0.331399 0.694743 1.399869 2.671075 5.075836
2025-04-06 0.058468 0.142424 0.316876 0.688214 1.431234 2.807398 5.475813
2025-04-13 0.051773 0.131936 0.304869 0.685365 1.469678 2.960732 5.921542
2025-04-20 0.048463 0.128578 0.307264 0.712105 1.568716 3.234896 6.612926
2025-04-27 0.049187 0.134905 0.331397 0.787374 1.772965 3.725939 7.752553
2025-05-04 0.046267 0.131774 0.333951 0.815957 1.883024 4.041795 8.576955
2025-05-11 0.041128 0.122090 0.320106 0.806259 1.910737 4.195789 9.094003
2025-05-18 0.035567 0.110244 0.299433 0.778241 1.895431 4.260485 9.435774
2025-05-25 0.030343 0.098299 0.276737 0.742439 1.858642 4.276694 9.678164
2025-06-01 0.028726 0.096365 0.279038 0.767411 1.962719 4.598894 10.582348
2025-06-08 0.024947 0.087286 0.261441 0.740651 1.943184 4.652283 10.918632
2025-06-15 0.023391 0.084731 0.260915 0.757252 2.028311 4.941561 11.783910